Stanislav Krapivnik: Putin Issues an Ultimatum — Major Escalation Is Next

The West's sudden demand for a ceasefire signals desperation because Russia is winning badly.

Russia will not negotiate with the current Ukrainian government, which it views as a terrorist regime.

BRICS cannot function as an alternative to the U.S. empire because half its members are U.S. vassals.

Modi betrayed Russia by providing coordinates of an Iranian frigate to the U.S. before switching oil purchases to Saudi Arabia.

The EU is panicking because Russia's blockade of Odessa and destruction of Ukrainian logistics cuts off vital grain supplies.

Without Ukrainian grain, Europe faces massive food inflation and potential starvation in some countries.

Russian forces are advancing rapidly, creating encirclements and cutting off Ukrainian supply lines across the front. A new cauldron near Kharkiv contains 1,700 to 2,000 Ukrainian troops, and Russian forces are closing in on Kramatorsk and Slavutsk.

Russia has reprogrammed the Arena active defense system to intercept drones, requiring 20-30 drones to destroy a tank instead of 3-4. This technological shift restores Russian mobility and overwhelms Ukrainian drone logistics.

Russia has destroyed 90% of Ukraine's warehousing and hundreds of fuel stations, crippling military and civilian logistics. This logistical collapse forces civilians to flee and prevents Ukraine from sustaining a partisan war.

Ukraine has suffered over two million dead and millions of invalids, making a future partisan uprising impossible. Russia's attrition strategy deliberately exterminates the male population to break Ukraine's will to fight.

Russia produces 1,200 new battle tanks annually and dozens of Iskander missile systems monthly, far outstripping NATO.

European military infrastructure would be destroyed on day one of any conflict due to Russia's production advantage.

U.S. intelligence agencies are feeding false information to Trump and Vance, claiming Russia is losing the war.

Politicians believe these briefings despite contradictory evidence, leading to flawed policy decisions.

Ukraine is suffering 1,500 to 2,000 casualties daily, far exceeding the 30,000 monthly replacement rate needed to prevent collapse.

The true casualty figures would cause panic in Ukraine if publicly acknowledged.