Lawrence Wilkerson: Saudi Arabia & Israel Could Disappear Soon

Northern Yemeni tribes are highly competent, smart fighters with high morale who will eat up the Saudi military.

There is a fifty-fifty chance Saudi Arabia will disappear as a nation-state depending on whether the U.S. or China bolsters them.

The U.S. set up the Saudis for their current failure by providing intelligence and weapons that proved insufficient.

Attacks on Mecca are likely an Israeli false flag operation, as the Houthis would not target the holy city.

Israel is conducting false flag operations to get Turkey's attention and consolidate control over Syria. Netanyahu is deflecting attention from domestic scandals and investigations into October 7th by starting conflicts elsewhere.

Oman and Iran have agreed to two narrow shipping channels in the Strait of Hormuz, with most laden ships going to China. Insurance surcharges around fifteen percent and crude price indicators show significant problems, contradicting Trump administration claims. Trump, Vance, and Hegseth are lying about the state of global oil markets and U.S. energy security.

The U.S. is highly vulnerable to network warfare targeting critical infrastructure like food, finance, and energy.

A major Exxon Mobil refinery accident may indicate that someone has started exploiting U.S. infrastructure vulnerabilities.

The Department of Homeland Security dissipated security power across disparate agencies instead of effectively consolidating it.

Gulf states realize Israel is the real problem in the Persian Gulf and are seeking accommodation with Iran. Bahrain's military infrastructure and U.S. forward presence there have been destroyed.

UAE and Bahrain's alignment with Israel will not endure due to pressure from other GCC members. The U.S. will completely retreat from the region, leaving no ground forces or significant contractor presence.

China does not want to build an imperium like the U.S. and actively checks tendencies toward centralization of power. Chinese leadership recognizes that predatory capitalism leads empires to eat their own seed corn and kill themselves. The Soviet Union previously restrained U.S. treachery, and its absence has revealed the true nature of the American empire.

Prominent Israelis are investigating October 7th complicity and suing Netanyahu, but he remains politically vulnerable. 85% of Jewish Israelis support Netanyahu's policies, and some believe he is not going fast enough. Removing Netanyahu would not change Israel's trajectory because the majority supports the same aggressive agenda.

Iran could destroy Israel with a few ballistic missiles or nuclear strikes due to Israel's small size and vulnerability. Netanyahu would likely use nuclear weapons against Iran if faced with an existential threat. The dissolution of the Jewish state of Israel is forthcoming due to internal and external pressures.

Hegseth and Colby are advocating for the use of low-yield nuclear weapons against Iran.

Hegseth lacks conscience and is more dangerous than Trump regarding nuclear escalation.

Trump would likely follow Netanyahu's lead and use nuclear weapons if Israel strikes first.

Miller and Vought are the most powerful people in the administration, controlling information flow to Trump. Dissenting advice is cut off or polluted before reaching Trump, preventing him from recognizing failures. Miller functions as a Kissinger-like national security advisor with more access and power than Susie Wiles.

An inclusive security architecture is needed to avoid both Iranian hegemony and an anti-Iranian bloc.

Recognizing Iran as the regional power and returning to the MOU could lead to stability if the U.S. stands aside.

The U.S. created regional insanity through a war of choice against Iran and machinations in Europe.