Glenn Diesen - Greater Eurasia Podcast
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Larry Johnson: Iran Invited to Join the Turkey-Saudi-Pakistan Defence Pact?
The United States is losing its global hegemony because its reliance on coercion, sanctions, and military force to maintain the petrodollar system and regional dominance is driving countries to build alternative security and economic architectures led by China and Russia. This self-defeating strategy is accelerating de-dollarization, pushing Gulf states toward reconciliation with Iran, and creating a new multipolar order outside U.S. control.
What was discussed
Turkey-Saudi-Pakistan defense pact evolution2:21
- Larry Johnsonassertion
The defense pact is evolving into a broader regional security arrangement with Iran being invited to join.
- Glenn Diesenopinion
The pact could represent a shift from bloc politics to collective security where members seek security with each other rather than against a common enemy.
Pakistan-Iran economic interdependence3:58
Johnson states Pakistan and Iran have a mutually beneficial economic relationship, with Iran supplying 70% of Pakistan's propane and natural gas needs. Pakistan recently opened six overland trade routes to Iran despite U.S. threats to punish nations trading with Tehran.
China-Russia coordinated security architecture5:28
Johnson claims China and Russia are coordinating a policy to build a new international security and economic architecture outside U.S. and NATO control. He cites parallel statements by Putin and Wang Yi calling for a new security framework as evidence of this coordination.
U.S. economic coercion driving de-dollarization7:41
Johnson argues Trump's threats and tariffs are pushing countries to seek alternatives to the U.S. financial system, accelerating the use of local currency trade and China's CIPS payment system. He characterizes this as a historical watershed moment where petrodollar hegemony is coming unglued.
U.S. support for radical Islamists against Iran14:57
Johnson asserts the U.S. has pursued a dual-track policy since 1979 of publicly fighting terrorism while covertly funding radical Islamist groups to weaken Iran and Russia. He claims this contradictory policy used Gulf Arab states as financiers and has now proven bankrupt as those states seek reconciliation with Iran.
Rebranding of HTS leader Ahmed al-Sharaa19:20
Johnson describes the rapid transformation of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham leader Abu Mohammad al-Julani into Syria's President Ahmed al-Sharaa as a blatant U.S. rebranding operation. He compares it to past transformations of former terrorists like Menachem Begin and Yitzhak Shamir into Israeli political leaders.
Three-phase oil supply disruption23:10
Johnson outlines a three-phase oil supply disruption caused by the Strait of Hormuz closure, arguing the U.S. lost its ability to manipulate prices after depleting strategic petroleum reserves around August 1st. He warns of a global shortage of sour crude essential for diesel and aviation fuel production.
Canada sour crude supply to U.S. at risk26:04
Johnson states Canada is a significant supplier of sour crude to the U.S. for diesel and aviation fuel, but this supply is now in question due to trade tensions with Trump. He warns that if Canada redirects its oil to China, the U.S. will face a serious energy problem.
Broader economic fallout from Gulf blockade31:53
Johnson details broader economic disruptions beyond oil, including curtailed supplies of Qatari liquid natural gas, helium for chip manufacturing, and urea and sulfur for fertilizer. He argues these shortages will persist and push countries to sell U.S. bonds to reduce dependence on Washington.
Iran considering NPT withdrawal35:26
Johnson reports Iran's parliament is actively considering withdrawing from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty after concluding that compliance led to attacks and assassinations rather than security. He speculates that withdrawal would likely be followed by an announcement that Iran has developed a nuclear weapon.
Iranian retaliation against Gulf states38:40
Johnson warns that any Gulf Arab state enabling U.S. sanctions on Iran will become a physical target for Iranian attacks on economic infrastructure. He specifically identifies the UAE as the most likely candidate for retaliation if it persists in cutting trade with Iran.
China as mediator in Saudi-Iran reconciliation42:52
Johnson identifies China as the ultimate mediator behind the Saudi-Iran reconciliation and the broader regional security shifts, with Russia playing a lesser role. He argues both powers are serious about removing U.S. influence from the Persian Gulf and offering Gulf states attractive economic alternatives to U.S. Treasury bonds.
U.S. hegemony sowing seeds of destruction46:35
Johnson argues the U.S. is sowing the seeds of its own destruction by attempting to maintain reserve currency status through force, threats, and sanctions rather than cooperation. He traces the acceleration of BRICS and China-Russia cooperation to the 2022 sanctions on Russia and the subsequent Saudi-Iran deal brokered by China.
Every episode of Glenn Diesen - Greater Eurasia Podcast, briefed the morning after, with up to nine more shows in one daily email.
Free for 30 days. No card needed. $4.99 a month after.
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