What the geopolitics podcasts and publications said today, and where they disagree.

Iran has moved to an offensive military posture, responding to U.S. strikes with disproportionate retaliation and considering all U.S.-linked regional assets fair game. Tehran is tightening restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz, decreasing oil exports and making passage highly dangerous for refined fuels. The region is fragile, and further escalation by the U.S. or desperate acts by Netanyahu could trigger a hot war. Iran is prepared for a long war and will increase pressure on the U.S. until the midterm elections to weaken Trump politically.

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Ansarullah has made stunning territorial gains, liberating about 5,400 square kilometers in less than 48 hours, causing Saudi forces to collapse due to low morale and lack of popular legitimacy. The group now controls the entire Red Sea coast from the Bab el Mandab northward, making safe passage for ships without their consent almost impossible. Yemen's mountainous terrain protects its military assets and makes it easier to strike ships or adversaries.

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Saudi Arabia faces enormous economic damage from Yemeni strikes on oil facilities and Strait of Hormuz disruptions, compounded by previous war expenditures. Gulf family dictatorships lack public legitimacy and could face instability or collapse if economic conditions worsen and the U.S. prevents them from selling Western assets.

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Recent BRICS and Shanghai Cooperation Organization summits issued statements supporting Iran and condemning actions in Gaza and Lebanon, indicating a global shift unfavorable to the U.S. Western media ignores these summits and their pro-Iran statements, preventing the public from understanding the changing global landscape.

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Western media uses political language to delegitimize opponents and legitimize Western actions, creating a false narrative that leads to strategic miscalculations. Audiences should ignore Western narratives and read alternative books like 'Going to Tehran' and Alistair Crooke's work to understand the reality of the resistance.

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The CDU's platform is built on preparing for war with Russia by 2030 and deindustrialization, which is a ridiculous strategy that cannot win elections. The German establishment mishandled the Saxony-Anhalt result by treating it as a dramatic crisis, which increases support for the AfD, whereas past chancellors would have downplayed it. The AfD's platform of needing Russian gas, peace in Europe, and reversing nuclear dismantlement makes sense to voters, with war and peace being major vote winners alongside the economy.

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