MBS Is Trapped. Europe is Doomed

Saudi Arabia is besieged on multiple fronts (Houthis, Iraqi militias, Iran) and has been forced to halt oil exports and is running low on air defense interceptors

MBS's failed appeals to Trump likely damaged his internal standing despite media claims his position is secure

MBS's position within Saudi Arabia remains secure despite the crisis

Saudi Arabia's rejection of BRICS and full reliance on Trump was a strategic error now backfiring

Saudis are furious and feel deeply betrayed by the Americans, not merely disappointed

MBS should call Putin, who has leverage over Iran, even if it means conceding Yemen to the Houthis

If MBS pivots back toward Iran/BRICS, the US could engineer regime change against him

Agrees MBS should try returning to the pre-Trump normalization track with Iran

Saudi oil cutoff will badly hurt Poland and the Baltics who depend on Saudi-refined crude

US media discussion of a possible diesel export ban suggests it could actually happen

Europe faces a severe compounding energy crisis (gas and diesel) that its leaders are ignoring while focusing on Russian asset seizures and Ukraine funding. Reliance on Canadian oil is not a realistic solution since European refineries can't process it and Canada's natural market is the US

Europeans are behaving like MBS, ignoring the crisis and hoping it goes away

France is experiencing fuel shortages, ironic given Macron's cheering of attacks on Russian refineries