Guess the Lines Week 1, Plus Favorite NFL Futures With Cousin Sal

Jerry Jones likes his team this year and has scaled back his usual media provocations.

Jones is not doing his usual weekly interviews or making offseason drama decisions.

The line is Seattle minus 3.5, matching the Super Bowl line.

The Patriots are a live dog because Seattle has secondary issues and the Pats have had eight months to prepare.

The Rams' strategy to fly in 24 hours before the game is arrogant and gives them every disadvantage.

The 49ers' early arrival is smart to get away from the practice field and acclimate.

The Texans-Bills game will be an overreaction game where the loser's schedule will be heavily scrutinized.

He guessed Texans minus 1.5 at home.

He guessed Bills minus 1.5, noting defenses are better coming out of the gate.

He guessed Ravens minus 4, but the line is minus 3.5, making him nervous about the hook.

He will probably take the Ravens moneyline because the hook scares him.

He guessed Bengals minus 3, but the line is minus 3.5.

Tampa is a live dog because they have talent, Baker is healthy, and they usually start fast.

He guessed Lions minus 6.5, which matches the actual line.

He guessed Lions minus 7, and the game is a prime teaser candidate.

He guessed Bears minus 2.5, which matches the actual line.

The game could be affected by extreme heat, which historically hurts road teams in the second half.

He guessed Jaguars minus 7.5, which matches the actual line.

He guessed Jaguars minus 7, and the game has the makings of a potential overreaction game.

He guessed Packers minus 2, but the actual line is Vikings minus 1.5.

He guessed Vikings minus 1.5, noting the Kyler Murray buzz and Packers defensive concerns without Micah Parsons.

He guessed Eagles minus 6, but the line is minus 5.5.

He guessed Eagles minus 4.5, and the line is too low because Washington's offensive line sucks.

He guessed Steelers minus 3.5, which matches the actual line.

He guessed Steelers minus 3, and the Falcons' lack of a quarterback and poor pass rush make this a stay-away.

He guessed Jets minus 1.5, but the line is Titans minus 2.5.

He guessed Titans plus 2, and the Titans shouldn't be favored against anyone.

He guessed Raiders minus 2.5, but the line is minus 3.5.

He guessed Raiders minus 2.5, and both teams are in the number one pick race.

He guessed Chargers minus 8, but the line is minus 9.5.

He guessed Chargers minus 8.5, and the books moved it to 9.5 because they knew they wanted to tease.

He guessed Cowboys minus 2.5, which matches the actual line.

He guessed Cowboys minus 3, and the line is too low because Dallas's defense has turned over significantly.

He guessed Chiefs minus 1.5, but the line is minus 2.5.

He guessed Chiefs minus 2, and the line reflects Mahomes's ACL recovery and Bo Nix's rehab game.

Tennis matches are too long at four and a half hours and should change sets from six games to five.

He doesn't care as much about match length and bets on tennis regardless.

The Jets will finish third in the AFC East at even odds because the Patriots and Bills will win 10+ and the Dolphins will win fewer than four.

The Falcons and Dolphins will both finish fourth in their divisions at plus 343.

The Chargers will be eliminated in the first round at plus 172, likely losing at home to the six-seeded Chiefs.

Houston and Seattle will both make the playoffs at plus 112 because their defenses will be among the best and both will win 10 games.

The NFC West will have more wins than the NFC South and the AFC West will have more wins than the AFC North at plus 165.

Tampa Bay will win the NFC South at plus 175 because they are by far the best team.

The Rams will win the NFC West and the Cardinals will lose their first five games at plus 850.

Dak Prescott will win MVP at 18 to 1 because the Cowboys will win 12-13 games and the media will push him.

Zac Taylor will win Coach of the Year at plus 2700 because the Bengals will win 11-13 games.

Kenneth Walker III will go over 750.5 rushing yards because he would need to get hurt not to hit that total.

Jalen Olroyd will win Offensive Rookie of the Year at plus 850 due to opportunity with 49ers injuries.

Matthew Golden, Jalen Coker, and Rashid Shaheed will hit their yardage thresholds at plus 561.

Puka Nacua will go under 107.5 receptions due to injury risk, the Australia trip, and blowouts.

Washington and Atlanta will both go under 8.5 wins at plus 112 because neither can reach nine wins.

The Packers will be the NFC's two seed at plus 1000 by gaming the divisional strength hierarchy.

Baker Mayfield will throw for 4000+ yards at plus 340 due to past performance, improved line, and contract year.

Trevor Lawrence will throw for 4000+ yards at plus 160 because the Jaguars' drop rate was unsustainably high.

Caleb Williams will throw for 4000+ yards at plus 210 due to year two of Ben Johnson's system and schedule.

Christian Watson will score 10+ receiving touchdowns at plus 340 by breaking out of his typical range.

David Montgomery will rush for 1000+ yards at plus 220 because he only needs 59 yards per game.

Vance Joseph will win Assistant Coach of the Year at plus 1100 due to Denver's sack production.

Malik Willis will rush for 1000+ yards at plus 850 due to volume and big-play ability.

Malik Willis will lead all QBs in rushing yards at plus 500 with 2000 total rushing yards.

The Seahawks and Patriots will go over 8.5 wins combined and the Rams will go under 13.5 wins at plus 145.

AJ Brown will score 10+ receiving touchdowns at plus 240 due to Jalen Hurts's high TD volume.

Myles Garrett will win Defensive Player of the Year at 4 to 1 with 25 sacks in close games.

The Colts, Browns, Giants, Jets, and Cardinals will all miss the playoffs at plus 156.

The Vikings will finish fourth in the NFC North at plus 175 because they are the worst team in the division.

The Chargers will win more games than the Vikings at minus 130.

The Cowboys will go over 10.5 wins at plus 500, offering better value than the division bet.

Bijan Robinson will lead the league in rushing yards at plus 750 due to age and expected workload.

The Falcons will go under 5.5 wins at plus 190 and will have a top-five pick next year.

The Raiders will finish fourth, Jets third, and Cardinals fourth at plus 229.

The Seahawks will win the NFC West at plus 210 due to better depth and less room for error than the Rams.

The Colts will go under 6.5 wins at plus 210 due to Richardson's injury and Jones's difficult return.

The Texans will win the AFC South at plus 120 because they are better than Jacksonville.

The Texans will win more games than the Eagles because 12 is bigger than 9.

Houston and Seattle will each go over 9.5 wins and Tampa will go over 8.5 wins at plus 122.

Jacoby Lane will win Offensive Rookie of the Year at plus 2200 due to first-string reps with the Ravens.

Baltimore or Houston will be the AFC one seed, betting both at plus 500 and plus 750 respectively.

Parker Washington will score 5+ receiving touchdowns at minus 122 due to his emergence last year.

Jalen Hurts will score 10+ rushing touchdowns at plus 145, a trend he has hit in four of the last five years.

Jesse Minter will win Coach of the Year at plus 850 because the Ravens will win 12-13 games.

The Dolphins will have the worst record in the league at plus 220 due to young players and dead cap.

Washington will go under 5.5 wins at plus 220, pairing with Atlanta for a two-to-one hedge.

The Patriots will win the AFC East at plus 140 because the odds disparity with Buffalo is unjustified.

Justin Herbert will win MVP at 11 to 1 because the Chargers will win 12 games.

Justin Herbert will throw for 4500 yards at 12 to 1 due to past performance and a healthy line.

Jayden Daniels will win Comeback Player of the Year at plus 750 due to narrative fit.

Brock Bowers will reach 1000 receiving yards at plus 135 due to health and Raiders' poor receiver room.

The Bills will win more games than the Chiefs at minus 120 due to Buffalo's streak and Chiefs' lack of talent.

The Bears will go over 9.5 wins at plus 120 due to Ben Johnson's coaching and team talent.

Caleb Downs will win Defensive Rookie of the Year at plus 700 due to leadership and Giants passing on him.

Jalen Milroe will reach 1000 receiving yards at plus 150 because Mike Evans is gone.

Matthew Stafford will lead the league in passing yards at plus 500 due to quick release and scheme.

David Montgomery will score 8 rushing touchdowns at minus 112 as a goal-line vulture.

Daniel Jones will go under 18.5 touchdown passes at plus 102 because he is not good for one per game.

Kenneth Walker III will win Offensive Rookie of the Year at plus 650 as a value pick.

The Rams will beat the Bills in the Super Bowl at plus 3050, with an exact score of 31-16.

The Seahawks will beat the Texans in the Super Bowl at plus 5340 due to lack of respect for Seattle.