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Russia Begins To Isolate Kiev. Elites Rattled as Rail Link Hit
Briefed in the Geopolitics edition of Tuesday, 15 September 2026
What was discussed
Trump blames Zelensky for diesel shortages0:27
- Hostassertion
Trump blamed Zelensky for diesel shortages caused by strikes on Russian oil refineries, even though Trump previously greenlit those strikes.
- Alexander Mercourisopinion
Trump is blaming Zelensky to deflect from his Iran policy and because he has grown frustrated with Zelensky.
Diesel prices drive inflation and economic pressure1:26
- Alexander Mercourisassertion
Diesel is integral to the industrial economy, and rising diesel prices create inflation pressure, with about a third of U.S. food costs affected.
U.S. greenlit Ukrainian strikes on Russia3:48
- Alexander Mercourisassertion
The decision for deep strikes inside Russia was made in autumn 2023, and Trump egged on Zelensky to conduct strikes against Moscow in May or June 2025.
Russian economy shows continued growth6:03
- Alexander Mercourisassertion
The Russian economy shows continued growth in the third quarter with no recession, though inflation is higher due to eased monetary policy, and Putin's political position is not collapsing.
Eric Schmidt reports Ukraine is losing7:53
- Eric Schmidtclip
Ukraine is losing the war and will continue to lose if current trends persist, citing overwhelming Russian drone production and missile strikes.
- Alexander Mercourisassertion
Schmidt advocates for a massive mobilization of Western industrial, economic, and scientific resources to overwhelm Russia rather than retreating or negotiating.
Russians strike Kiev-Poland rail link8:49
- Alexander Mercourisassertion
Russia is striking the Kiev-Poland rail link to gradually sever the connection and choke Kiev, aiming to force Western officials to leave voluntarily.
Trump wants drone offensive stopped11:35
- Alexander Mercourisassertion
Trump wants the Ukrainian drone offensive stopped to avert Ukraine's collapse and secure a ceasefire, while Ratcliffe and others push for escalation.
U.S. controls strikes on Russian refineries13:10
- Hostassertion
The U.S. controls the strikes on Russian refineries via satellite data and missile support, so Trump could stop them instantly by halting data sharing.
- Alexander Mercourisassertion
Russia's pauses in diesel exports are common and not unusual, and the Middle East situation is the ultimate cause of the diesel crisis.
Western officials attend Kiev conferences18:47
- Alexander Mercourisopinion
Western officials like Boris Johnson likely attend Kiev conferences for financial gain and because their reputations are tied to Ukraine's success.
- Alexander Mercourisassertion
The Russians did not specifically target individuals in the train strike but are executing a broader plan to isolate Kiev.
Russian drones evolve with real-time control25:17
- Alexander Mercourisassertion
Russian Geran-2 drones are now controlled in real-time by operators using repeater stations in Belarus and drone-to-drone signal passing.
- Alexander Mercourisspeculation
Advanced jet-powered Geran drones will likely use the Rassvet satellite system, potentially achieving full coverage of Ukraine by winter.
Russia ends permission for Kiev train travel31:06
- Alexander Mercourisassertion
Russia's previous green light for Western train travel to Kiev has ended, and Russia is gradually tightening its grip on the city. Russia refused to pause strikes for Witkoff and Kushner's visit, forcing them to travel via Warsaw instead of flying directly to Kiev.
Russia shifts to total war in Ukraine35:16
- Alexander Mercourisassertion
Russia has shifted from a limited military operation to total war in response to Western actions, mirroring the closure of the Odessa port.
- Dmitry Peskovclip
Western actions have turned Russia's limited military operation into an actual war.
Sikorsky claims Poland could defeat Russia quickly36:11
- Radosław Sikorskiclip
Poland and NATO could wipe out Russian oil refineries in six weeks due to overwhelming air superiority.
- Alexander Mercourisopinion
Sikorsky's claim is delusional escalation rhetoric, part of a broader push by Western figures to attack Russian bases and involve NATO directly.
- Vladimir Putinclip
If NATO involves itself directly in the war or European troops enter Ukraine, they will be at war with Russia.
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