Alastair Crooke : How Iran Blunts the U.S.

The U.S. hopes continued attacks will force Iran to capitulate, but Iran has instead escalated with massive ballistic missile strikes across the Gulf. The U.S. lacks the munitions for serious escalation, whereas Iran holds an escalatory advantage with numerous Gulf targets within reach.

Trump's military actions and claims about Venezuelan oil are primarily aimed at manipulating financial markets and managing the bond market. Attacks on Iran and diplomatic flights are tools to influence market sentiment and interest rates.

U.S. claims of a blockade and vessel traffic through Hormuz are false PR, as almost no vessels are passing. Secondary sanctions will fail because China, Russia, and Pakistan refuse to comply. Iran utilizes alternative payment systems and ship-to-ship sales to bypass the dollar system.

China and Russia actively support Iran due to its strategic importance to the Belt and Road Initiative and regional security. Gulf states are unlikely to enforce sanctions due to economic vulnerability and Iran's threats of retaliation.

Ukraine's economy is nearing collapse, with 90% of logistics destroyed and grain exports halted. Continuous Russian attacks are causing severe shortages and forcing civilians in Kiev into bunkers.

European missile provocations have damaged Russian refineries, causing significant fuel shortages and long queues in major cities. Fuel shortages cause public frustration but have not yet generated organized political opposition.