Pepe Esobar : What Iran Expects From Trump

Ratcliffe's meeting was routine and did not include Putin, focusing on sensitive internal matters likely related to Ukraine.

Ukraine has lost the war militarily and economically, and European welfare states are collapsing from funding it.

Bout's assessment is realistic and reflects the widespread knowledge in Ukraine that the war is lost.

The U.S. controls the Strait of Hormuz with an ironclad blockade that Iran cannot run.

The U.S. does not control the Strait; Iran vetoes transit, U.S. ships are hundreds of kilometers away, and Iran exports oil overland.

Trump needs an exit he can sell as a win, but Iran demands the U.S. fulfill MOU commitments before resuming talks.

Major powers and the Global South reject U.S. sanctions on Iran and will continue trading, actively working to isolate the dollar.

Pakistan is mediating, and a framework agreement might be announced soon, but Iran requires U.S. action first.