Alastair Crroke : Can Trump Raise the Stakes in Iran?

Trump's MOU with Iran was a tactical device to secure control of Hormuz, not a genuine diplomatic agreement.

U.S. pressure on Iran has backfired by encouraging other nations like Saudi Arabia to seek nuclear weapons.

U.S. financial threats against Iran are theater masking domestic economic vulnerability and loss of control over markets.

Pakistan is offering Iran a regional alliance with Saudi Arabia and Turkey that excludes the United States.

Iran should be cautious about a regional alliance because Saudi Arabia is financially troubled and Pakistan relies on U.S. aid.

Trump prioritizes narrative control and public perception over factual reality, following Roy Cohn's advice.

Islamic history supports compromise as a path to victory, as demonstrated by the Treaty of Hudaybiyyah.

Hassan Khomeini's call for compromise is politically irrelevant and does not reflect the consolidated Iranian leadership's stance.

Iran is adopting a new revolutionary consciousness and will escalate pressure on the U.S. rather than compromise.

Israel's right wing is preparing to escalate violence before the October elections to secure power, driven by messianic beliefs.