Gameweek 5 | FPL BlackBox​ | Fantasy Premier League Tips 26/27 | Ep.212 |Part 1-Defcon Daddies

The wildcard was highly successful with almost every player returning points, including a 17-pointer from Gross.

Captaincy was a slight fail as Palmer returned 10 points while Pedro would have been the better option.

The team scored 74 points which is a red arrow, though he would normally be happy with that score. Solis has become a problem player and has already been transferred out.

67% of defenders hitting a 33% Defcon rate in the first four weeks went on to achieve that rate over the season. Only 27% of defenders hitting a 50% rate in the first four weeks maintained that average over the season. Only one defender, Senesi, managed to maintain a 66% Defcon rate for the whole season after starting at that level.

43% of midfielders hitting a 33% Defcon rate in the first four weeks maintained that rating over the season. No midfielders who hit a 66% Defcon rate in the first four weeks managed to keep that rate over the season.

Early wildcards are a good strategy if managers can identify defenders who will consistently hit Defcon thresholds.

Tarkovsky is a reliable pick who is likely to achieve another 170-180 point season due to consistent Defcon returns.

Mihajlovic could have a 160-170 point season for five million if he maintains his current Defcon range.

Elliot Anderson hit Defcon in only one of the first four weeks but went on to hit it in 68% of games overall. Players like Estupinan and Chris Richards also started poorly but finished the season with high Defcon percentages.

The average points per gameweek for top players is 6.33, the highest recorded across the last three seasons. The increase in scoring is driven by more players averaging six or seven points rather than an increase in ten-point hauls. Defenders now comprise 20 of the top 50 scorers, up from nine in the 23-24 season.

The high-scoring season allows managers to take a few more risks than last year, though not excessively.

The season is not defined by massive hauls but by consistent six-to-eight point returns, particularly from defenders.

Playing four at the back feels reserved but is the most effective strategy given the current scoring trends.