"Donald Trump's latest message is – it's them, not me"

Trump is setting the groundwork to avoid blame for expected Republican losses, though the party has submitted to him with zero daylight between them.

Tariffs, expensive inputs, and imported beef have created a crisis for agriculture, putting Trump in serious trouble in farm country.

Trump is in serious trouble in farm country and he is not optimistic about the situation.

Texas is competitive again, with Talerico vastly out-fundraising Paxton and Cornyn calling Paxton lazy.

He is attracting Cornyn donors and supporters because losing the race means losing the Senate and Texas.

The Senate lacks budget for Texas and needs Trump to spend $100-200 million to help.

Texans disapprove of Trump's tariffs 54% to 46%, with independents disapproving 68% to 32%.

Texas has always been elusive for Democrats, but tariffs and candidate quality are making the environment hostile for Republicans.

Trump has ticked off the cattlemen by importing beef, threatening a $15 billion industry, and farmers are angry.

Protecting monopolies and anti-competitive consolidation is not pro-business or capitalist.

Trump is more of a socialist president than Democrats, taking control of businesses and dismantling antitrust enforcement.

Ground Truth uses long conversations to gather data, finding that 80% of voters are not monolithic and helping campaigns identify persuadables.

There is voter apathy and Trump fatigue among long-time Republicans.

Republicans are in lockstep with Trump but complaining is weak tea, though Trump's scapegoating is on brand.

Nebraska, Kansas, and Mississippi could fall if conditions deteriorate due to cost of living, Trump's unpopularity, and the enthusiasm gap.

Candidate quality and faith-forward messaging in Kansas and Mississippi could lead to surprises, similar to 2006.

Trump threatened Welker with FCC punishment for accurately reporting his mixed primary record.

Trump's FCC threat is ludicrous, absurd, and part of a campaign to intimidate, though unlikely to succeed.

Trump is waging a war on truth and trying to manipulate reality, not just attacking the press.

The FCC has no authority to punish journalists and threats to press freedom are dangerous.

Voting by mail would become much more difficult or impossible for tens of millions if Trump's order survives.

Late mail ballot rejections are rising due to budget cuts, machine reductions, and distribution center changes at the Postal Service.

Officials advise using drop boxes or delivering ballots in person to remove variables and ensure votes are counted.

Voters should mail ballots two weeks early or drop them off personally due to Postal Service budget issues and potential Trump interference.

Deportees describe being shackled, denied toilet use, and suffering pain during flights to third countries.

Deportees were medically cleared, needs were addressed, and agents did not press on abdomens.

The administration prioritizes numbers over medical conditions and uses third-country removals to pressure self-deportation.

The administration is breaking a commitment to allies by deporting an Afghan national whose family worked with U.S. forces.

Deporting allies who helped U.S. forces should anger the military and undermines future cooperation.

Google Maps changed the name for U.S. users, while MapQuest refused and surged in app charts.

Trump reached out to Apple personally, so a name change on Apple Maps may be coming soon.